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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21

Empoli – Pisa

Home 29% 3.51 fair
Draw 24% 4.17 fair
Away 47% 2.11 fair
Expected Goals3.04
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.1% → 28.5% -3.6 pp
Draw 25.9% → 24.0% -1.9 pp
Away 42.0% → 47.5% +5.5 pp
Over 2.5 50.0% → 58.3% +8.4 pp
Both teams to score 53.9% → 59.8% +5.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.67 → 3.04 +0.37
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.03 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.5% 3.51 —
24.0% 4.17 —
47.5% 2.11 —
52.5% 1.9 —
71.5% 1.4 —
76.0% 1.32 —

Half-time result

25.4% 3.94 —
40.8% 2.45 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Half-time double chance

66.1% 1.51 —
74.6% 1.34 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Both halves

6.6% 15.06 —

HT/FT

16.4% 6.11 —
5.6% 17.99 —
3.5% 28.99 —
10.2% 9.78 —
13.5% 7.4 —
17.1% 5.86 —
4.9% 20.28 —
27.0% 3.71 —

HT/FT double chance

45.6% 2.19 —
47.1% 2.12 —
39.6% 2.53 —
28.8% 3.47 —
48.7% 2.05 —
40.9% 2.44 —
30.6% 3.27 —
56.2% 1.78 —
62.5% 1.6 —

Total goals

95.1% 1.05 —
80.5% 1.24 —
58.3% 1.71 —
36.6% 2.73 —
19.5% 5.14 —
41.7% 2.4 —
63.4% 1.58 —

1st-half goals

71.2% 1.4 —
34.9% 2.87 —

Home team goals

72.3% 1.38 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Away team goals

82.6% 1.21 —
51.9% 1.93 —

Both to score

59.8% 1.67 —

Corners

69.2% 1.45 —
58.2% 1.72 —
46.8% 2.14 —
36.4% 2.75 —
27.5% 3.63 —
41.8% 2.39 —
53.2% 1.88 —
63.6% 1.57 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Home corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.4% 1.98 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Away corners

65.2% 1.53 —
49.0% 2.04 —
34.3% 2.92 —

Cards

84.7% 1.18 —
70.6% 1.42 —
54.2% 1.85 —
38.7% 2.58 —
29.4% 3.4 —
45.8% 2.18 —
61.3% 1.63 —

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