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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21

Catanzaro – Palermo

Home 32% 3.17 fair
Draw 23% 4.35 fair
Away 45% 2.2 fair
Expected Goals3.16
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.3% → 31.5% -4.8 pp
Draw 24.1% → 23.0% -1.2 pp
Away 39.6% → 45.5% +5.9 pp
Over 2.5 57.3% → 60.8% +3.5 pp
Both teams to score 59.9% → 62.2% +2.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.98 → 3.16 +0.18
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.68 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.92 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.5% 3.17 —
23.0% 4.35 —
45.5% 2.2 —
54.5% 1.83 —
68.5% 1.46 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Half-time result

21.8% 4.58 —
38.8% 2.57 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Half-time double chance

60.7% 1.65 —
78.2% 1.28 —
61.2% 1.64 —

Both halves

7.2% 13.97 —

HT/FT

15.7% 6.39 —
4.0% 25.06 —
12.8% 7.84 —
12.7% 7.87 —
13.4% 7.47 —
3.1% 31.95 —
6.3% 15.95 —
29.9% 3.34 —

HT/FT double chance

45.1% 2.22 —
44.0% 2.27 —
32.3% 3.1 —
29.0% 3.44 —
50.9% 1.96 —
42.4% 2.36 —
34.9% 2.87 —
59.2% 1.69 —
62.3% 1.61 —

Total goals

95.8% 1.04 —
81.7% 1.22 —
60.8% 1.64 —
39.2% 2.55 —
18.3% 5.47 —
39.2% 2.55 —
60.8% 1.64 —

1st-half goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Home team goals

75.6% 1.32 —
41.0% 2.44 —

Away team goals

82.3% 1.21 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Both to score

62.2% 1.61 —

Corners

70.6% 1.42 —
59.7% 1.68 —
48.6% 2.06 —
38.0% 2.63 —
28.7% 3.48 —
40.3% 2.48 —
51.4% 1.94 —
62.0% 1.61 —
71.2% 1.4 —

Home corners

69.8% 1.43 —
54.0% 1.85 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Away corners

64.3% 1.55 —
47.5% 2.1 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Cards

84.0% 1.19 —
69.3% 1.44 —
52.7% 1.9 —
36.9% 2.71 —
30.7% 3.26 —
47.3% 2.12 —
63.1% 1.58 —

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