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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21

Carrarese – Virtus Entella

Home 43% 2.3 fair
Draw 29% 3.42 fair
Away 27% 3.67 fair
Expected Goals2.1
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.535%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.0% → 43.5% +1.4 pp
Draw 29.8% → 29.3% -0.5 pp
Away 28.2% → 27.3% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 36.5% → 35.0% -1.4 pp
Both teams to score 43.1% → 41.2% -1.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.16 → 2.1 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.49 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.5% 2.3 —
29.3% 3.42 —
27.3% 3.67 —
72.8% 1.37 —
56.5% 1.77 —
70.7% 1.41 —

Half-time result

25.9% 3.87 —
50.9% 1.96 —
23.2% 4.31 —

Half-time double chance

76.8% 1.3 —
74.2% 1.35 —
49.0% 2.04 —

Both halves

10.2% 9.83 —

HT/FT

21.4% 4.67 —
3.6% 27.47 —
19.7% 5.07 —
20.3% 4.92 —
10.9% 9.18 —
5.3% 18.8 —
15.6% 6.43 —

HT/FT double chance

65.1% 1.54 —
52.8% 1.89 —
35.6% 2.81 —
32.7% 3.06 —
40.1% 2.5 —
25.3% 3.95 —
47.7% 2.1 —
48.5% 2.06 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Total goals

87.7% 1.14 —
61.8% 1.62 —
35.0% 2.86 —
16.4% 6.1 —
38.2% 2.62 —
65.0% 1.54 —
83.6% 1.2 —

1st-half goals

56.6% 1.77 —
19.9% 5.02 —

Home team goals

70.1% 1.43 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Away team goals

58.9% 1.7 —
22.3% 4.49 —

Both to score

41.2% 2.43 —

Corners

68.8% 1.45 —
57.6% 1.73 —
46.6% 2.14 —
36.2% 2.76 —
27.3% 3.66 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.4% 1.87 —
63.8% 1.57 —
72.7% 1.38 —

Home corners

69.8% 1.43 —
54.2% 1.85 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Away corners

60.2% 1.66 —
43.7% 2.29 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Cards

85.4% 1.17 —
71.5% 1.4 —
54.9% 1.82 —
39.8% 2.51 —
28.5% 3.51 —
45.1% 2.22 —
60.2% 1.66 —

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