Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-14 18:45
Rio Ave – Estrela
Goals anchored to market odds
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.0% | 2.94 | 33.7% | |
| 26.9% | 3.71 | 28.5% | |
| 39.1% | 2.56 | 37.8% | |
| 60.9% | 1.64 | ||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | ||
| 73.1% | 1.37 |
Half-time result
| 24.5% | 4.08 | ||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | ||
| 29.8% | 3.35 |
Half-time double chance
| 70.2% | 1.43 | ||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | ||
| 54.4% | 1.84 |
Both halves
| 7.4% | 13.57 |
HT/FT
| 17.8% | 5.61 | ||
| 4.7% | 21.19 | ||
| 13.8% | 7.23 | ||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | ||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | ||
| 5.3% | 18.8 | ||
| 22.2% | 4.51 |
HT/FT double chance
| 53.3% | 1.88 | ||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | ||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | ||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | ||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | ||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | ||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | ||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | ||
| 59.3% | 1.69 |
Total goals
| 91.8% | 1.09 | ||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | ||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | 46.1% | |
| 24.3% | 4.11 | ||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | ||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | 53.9% | |
| 75.7% | 1.32 |
1st-half goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | ||
| 27.7% | 3.61 |
Home team goals
| 69.7% | 1.44 | ||
| 34.0% | 2.94 |
Away team goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | ||
| 37.5% | 2.67 |
Both to score
| 50.7% | 1.97 |
Corners
| 67.8% | 1.47 | ||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | ||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | ||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | ||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | ||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | ||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | ||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | ||
| 73.0% | 1.37 |
Home corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | ||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | ||
| 41.4% | 2.41 |
Away corners
| 56.9% | 1.76 | ||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | ||
| 27.0% | 3.7 |
Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 83.3% | 1.2 | ||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | ||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | ||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | ||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | ||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | ||
| 59.5% | 1.68 |
model · fair · market (no margin)