Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-13 20:30

Famalicao – Sp Lisbon

Home 16% 6.27 fair
Draw 21% 4.84 fair
Away 63% 1.58 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Famalicao – Sp Lisbon
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals2.83
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.554%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 model adds signal (+0.5%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.67 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

16.0% 6.27 15.5% 6.00
20.6% 4.84 22.7% 4.10
63.4% 1.58 61.7% 1.51
36.6% 2.73 —
84.0% 1.19 —
79.3% 1.26 —

Half-time result

12.2% 8.17 —
39.3% 2.54 —
48.4% 2.06 —

Half-time double chance

51.6% 1.94 —
87.8% 1.14 —
60.7% 1.65 —

HT/FT

6.7% 14.84 —
3.2% 31.45 —
7.6% 13.14 —
12.6% 7.95 —
19.1% 5.23 —
4.9% 20.45 —
41.9% 2.38 —

HT/FT double chance

30.1% 3.32 —
35.8% 2.79 —
37.2% 2.69 —
16.4% 6.09 —
52.6% 1.9 —
52.3% 1.91 —
26.7% 3.75 —
70.3% 1.42 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
77.5% 1.29 —
54.0% 1.85 53.9% 1.75
32.1% 3.12 —
22.5% 4.44 —
46.0% 2.17 46.1% 2.05
67.9% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

69.1% 1.45 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Home team goals

57.9% 1.73 —
21.7% 4.61 —

Away team goals

86.1% 1.16 —
59.0% 1.7 —

Both to score

49.7% 2.01 —

Corners

67.5% 1.48 —
57.0% 1.75 —
46.1% 2.17 —
36.2% 2.76 —
27.0% 3.7 —
43.0% 2.33 —
53.9% 1.86 —
63.8% 1.57 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Home corners

55.5% 1.8 —
39.2% 2.55 —
25.6% 3.91 —

Away corners

71.5% 1.4 —
57.6% 1.73 —
42.7% 2.34 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

85.9% 1.16 —
74.3% 1.35 —
60.7% 1.65 —
47.0% 2.13 —
25.7% 3.89 —
39.3% 2.55 —
53.0% 1.89 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds