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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21

Avellino – Mantova

Home 42% 2.37 fair
Draw 26% 3.8 fair
Away 32% 3.17 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.9% → 42.2% +1.2 pp
Draw 25.2% → 26.3% +1.1 pp
Away 33.8% → 31.5% -2.3 pp
Over 2.5 50.5% → 47.1% -3.5 pp
Both teams to score 54.2% → 51.3% -2.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.69 → 2.56 -0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.75 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.5 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.2% 2.37 —
26.3% 3.8 —
31.5% 3.17 —
68.5% 1.46 —
57.8% 1.73 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

35.7% 2.8 —
43.2% 2.31 —
21.0% 4.76 —

Half-time double chance

79.0% 1.27 —
64.2% 1.56 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Both halves

11.6% 8.65 —

HT/FT

27.3% 3.67 —
6.0% 16.61 —
13.2% 7.6 —
16.3% 6.13 —
13.8% 7.27 —
4.0% 25.25 —
15.3% 6.53 —

HT/FT double chance

62.8% 1.59 —
56.6% 1.77 —
38.6% 2.59 —
39.0% 2.56 —
46.8% 2.14 —
27.8% 3.6 —
35.2% 2.84 —
44.0% 2.27 —
49.4% 2.03 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.2% 1.38 —
47.1% 2.12 —
25.6% 3.91 —
27.8% 3.6 —
52.9% 1.89 —
74.5% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

67.3% 1.49 —
31.0% 3.23 —

Home team goals

74.6% 1.34 —
41.4% 2.42 —

Away team goals

68.8% 1.45 —
31.9% 3.13 —

Both to score

51.3% 1.95 —

Corners

61.2% 1.64 —
49.8% 2.01 —
38.4% 2.6 —
28.6% 3.5 —
20.4% 4.91 —
50.2% 1.99 —
61.6% 1.62 —
71.5% 1.4 —
79.6% 1.26 —

Home corners

62.4% 1.6 —
46.0% 2.17 —
31.0% 3.22 —

Away corners

57.6% 1.73 —
40.8% 2.45 —
26.7% 3.74 —

Cards

88.7% 1.13 —
76.4% 1.31 —
61.5% 1.63 —
45.9% 2.18 —
23.6% 4.24 —
38.6% 2.59 —
54.1% 1.85 —

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