Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21
Arezzo – Padova
Home
24%
4.1 fair
Draw
29%
3.42 fair
Away
46%
2.16 fair
Expected Goals2.12
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.535%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.5%
→
24.4%
-0.1 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
29.2%
+5.4 pp
Away
51.7%
→
46.3%
-5.4 pp
Over 2.5
53.9%
→
35.3%
-18.6 pp
Both teams to score
55.1%
→
41.5%
-13.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.84 →
2.12
-0.72
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 10.0% | 10.01 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
HT/FT
| 6.4% | 15.55 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.18 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
Total goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — |
1st-half goals
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.82 | — |
Home team goals
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — |
Both to score
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
Corners
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
Away corners
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — |
Cards
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds