Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-13 18:00

Benfica – Gil Vicente

Home 84% 1.19 fair
Draw 11% 8.94 fair
Away 5% 21.51 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Benfica – Gil Vicente
FINAL Actual Result 3–1 Benfica – Gil Vicente
Expected Goals3.28
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.563%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 3.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.69 model adds signal (+0.5%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.91 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

84.2% 1.19 83.3% 1.11
11.2% 8.94 12.3% 7.50
4.7% 21.51 4.4% 21.00
95.3% 1.05 —
15.8% 6.31 —
88.8% 1.13 —

Half-time result

62.8% 1.59 —
30.6% 3.26 —
6.5% 15.29 —

Half-time double chance

93.5% 1.07 —
37.2% 2.69 —
69.4% 1.44 —

Both halves

43.9% 2.28 —

HT/FT

60.3% 1.66 —
21.5% 4.65 —
7.1% 14.14 —

HT/FT double chance

91.1% 1.1 —
84.2% 1.19 —
11.7% 8.58 —
66.8% 1.5 —
65.2% 1.53 —
6.7% 14.88 —
32.9% 3.04 —
28.2% 3.55 —
13.3% 7.51 —

Total goals

96.4% 1.04 —
83.7% 1.19 —
63.3% 1.58 63.7% 1.48
41.1% 2.44 —
16.3% 6.14 —
36.6% 2.73 36.3% 2.60
59.0% 1.7 —

1st-half goals

75.6% 1.32 —
41.1% 2.44 —

Home team goals

93.8% 1.07 —
76.1% 1.31 —

Away team goals

39.6% 2.52 —
9.1% 10.99 —

Both to score

37.0% 2.7 —

Corners

69.7% 1.43 —
59.1% 1.69 —
48.4% 2.07 —
38.2% 2.62 —
29.2% 3.43 —
40.9% 2.44 —
51.6% 1.94 —
61.8% 1.62 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Home corners

83.9% 1.19 —
73.0% 1.37 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Away corners

34.4% 2.91 —
19.6% 5.1 —
10.0% 10.01 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

80.1% 1.25 —
65.7% 1.52 —
51.0% 1.96 —
37.0% 2.7 —
34.3% 2.92 —
49.0% 2.04 —
63.0% 1.59 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds