Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-13 18:00
Arouca – Santa Clara
Home
37%
2.73 fair
Draw
28%
3.58 fair
Away
35%
2.83 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
Arouca – Santa Clara
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Arouca – Santa Clara
Expected Goals2.35
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.6% | 2.73 | 36.3% | 2.57 | ||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | 29.1% | 3.20 | ||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | 34.5% | 2.70 | ||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 12.02 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.51 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.58 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.3 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.48 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Total goals
| 90.4% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | 41.9% | 2.25 | ||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | 58.1% | 1.62 | ||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — |
Both to score
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Corners
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — |
Away corners
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 88.8% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds