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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-31 16:15

Catanzaro – Padova

Home 48% 2.07 fair
Draw 25% 4.04 fair
Away 27% 3.72 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Catanzaro – Padova
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Catanzaro – Padova
Expected Goals2.7
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.0% → 48.3% -3.7 pp
Draw 24.4% → 24.8% +0.4 pp
Away 23.6% → 26.9% +3.3 pp
Over 2.5 49.6% → 50.6% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 51.0% → 53.5% +2.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.64 → 2.7 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.93 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.3% 2.07 —
24.8% 4.04 —
26.9% 3.72 —
73.1% 1.37 —
51.7% 1.94 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

35.6% 2.81 —
38.2% 2.62 —
26.2% 3.82 —

Half-time double chance

73.8% 1.36 —
64.4% 1.55 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Both halves

14.0% 7.15 —

HT/FT

30.3% 3.3 —
4.2% 23.64 —
15.2% 6.57 —
15.0% 6.68 —
8.0% 12.44 —
5.6% 17.92 —
17.8% 5.63 —

HT/FT double chance

64.7% 1.55 —
54.6% 1.83 —
28.3% 3.53 —
42.9% 2.33 —
51.9% 1.92 —
28.7% 3.49 —
38.6% 2.59 —
43.9% 2.28 —
46.4% 2.16 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.1% 1.33 —
50.6% 1.98 —
28.4% 3.52 —
24.9% 4.02 —
49.4% 2.03 —
71.6% 1.4 —

1st-half goals

75.8% 1.32 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Home team goals

79.4% 1.26 —
47.1% 2.12 —

Away team goals

67.3% 1.49 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Both to score

53.5% 1.87 —

Corners

69.2% 1.45 —
58.1% 1.72 —
47.0% 2.13 —
36.6% 2.73 —
27.4% 3.65 —
41.9% 2.39 —
53.0% 1.89 —
63.3% 1.58 —
72.6% 1.38 —

Home corners

73.0% 1.37 —
57.8% 1.73 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Away corners

57.6% 1.74 —
40.6% 2.46 —
26.7% 3.75 —

Cards

83.9% 1.19 —
69.1% 1.45 —
52.8% 1.89 —
37.4% 2.68 —
30.9% 3.23 —
47.2% 2.12 —
62.6% 1.6 —

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