Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-27 19:00
Padova – Sudtirol
Home
37%
2.69 fair
Draw
30%
3.33 fair
Away
33%
3.05 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Padova – Sudtirol
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Padova – Sudtirol
Expected Goals2.07
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.534%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.5%
→
37.2%
-1.3 pp
Draw
29.9%
→
30.0%
+0.2 pp
Away
31.6%
→
32.8%
+1.1 pp
Over 2.5
36.2%
→
34.5%
-1.7 pp
Both teams to score
42.9%
→
41.6%
-1.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.13 →
2.07
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 7.9% | 12.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.15 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.51 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Total goals
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — |
Both to score
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — |
Corners
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Away corners
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Cards
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds