Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-13 18:00

Arouca – Santa Clara

Home 37% 2.73 fair
Draw 28% 3.58 fair
Away 35% 2.83 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.75 model adds signal (+0.5%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 6.17 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.6% 2.73 36.3% 2.57
28.0% 3.58 29.1% 3.20
35.4% 2.83 34.5% 2.70
64.6% 1.55 —
63.4% 1.58 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Half-time result

27.3% 3.66 —
43.7% 2.29 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Half-time double chance

71.0% 1.41 —
72.7% 1.38 —
56.3% 1.77 —

Both halves

8.3% 12.02 —

HT/FT

21.1% 4.74 —
4.7% 21.51 —
13.7% 7.29 —
17.9% 5.58 —
12.0% 8.3 —
5.4% 18.48 —
21.8% 4.59 —

HT/FT double chance

57.4% 1.74 —
48.4% 2.07 —
36.1% 2.77 —
33.0% 3.03 —
46.3% 2.16 —
33.4% 2.99 —
38.9% 2.57 —
49.4% 2.02 —
57.2% 1.75 —

Total goals

90.4% 1.11 —
67.3% 1.48 —
41.5% 2.41 41.9% 2.25
20.9% 4.78 —
32.6% 3.06 —
58.5% 1.71 58.1% 1.62
79.1% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

67.8% 1.47 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Home team goals

69.2% 1.44 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Away team goals

68.3% 1.46 —
32.4% 3.08 —

Both to score

47.1% 2.12 —

Corners

60.8% 1.64 —
49.4% 2.02 —
38.5% 2.6 —
28.9% 3.46 —
20.5% 4.87 —
50.6% 1.98 —
61.5% 1.63 —
71.1% 1.41 —
79.5% 1.26 —

Home corners

62.2% 1.61 —
45.6% 2.2 —
31.0% 3.22 —

Away corners

57.4% 1.74 —
40.8% 2.45 —
26.8% 3.73 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

88.8% 1.13 —
78.5% 1.27 —
65.8% 1.52 —
53.4% 1.87 —
21.4% 4.66 —
34.1% 2.93 —
46.6% 2.15 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds