Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-27 19:00
Ascoli – Sampdoria
Home
59%
1.69 fair
Draw
25%
3.99 fair
Away
16%
6.34 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Ascoli – Sampdoria
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Ascoli – Sampdoria
Expected Goals2.23
Both teams to score38%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.0%
→
59.1%
+8.1 pp
Draw
28.5%
→
25.1%
-3.4 pp
Away
20.4%
→
15.8%
-4.7 pp
Over 2.5
34.2%
→
38.5%
+4.3 pp
Both teams to score
38.4%
→
38.0%
-0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.07 →
2.23
+0.16
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 18.3% | 5.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.85 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.97 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.05 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — |
Total goals
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Away team goals
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — |
Both to score
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
Away corners
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — |
Cards
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds