Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-13 19:45

Brest – Paris SG

Home 9% 11.45 fair
Draw 14% 7.16 fair
Away 77% 1.29 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Brest – Paris SG
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Brest – Paris SG
Expected Goals3.53
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.568%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 3.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.22 no edge over baseline
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.27 model adds signal (+2.8%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

8.7% 11.45 8.6% 11.00
14.0% 7.16 16.5% 5.75
77.3% 1.29 74.8% 1.27
22.7% 4.41 —
91.3% 1.1 —
86.1% 1.16 —

Half-time result

10.3% 9.67 —
27.6% 3.62 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Half-time double chance

38.0% 2.63 —
89.7% 1.12 —
72.4% 1.38 —

HT/FT

4.8% 20.7 —
3.2% 31.25 —
7.8% 12.82 —
16.6% 6.01 —
3.4% 29.76 —
58.0% 1.73 —

HT/FT double chance

18.6% 5.37 —
27.4% 3.65 —
29.9% 3.34 —
11.7% 8.55 —
66.2% 1.51 —
66.8% 1.5 —
15.1% 6.64 —
78.5% 1.27 —
85.8% 1.17 —

Total goals

96.8% 1.03 —
86.2% 1.16 —
67.9% 1.47 68.2% 1.40
46.8% 2.14 —
13.8% 7.24 —
32.1% 3.12 31.8% 3.00
53.2% 1.88 —

1st-half goals

82.7% 1.21 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Home team goals

55.4% 1.81 —
19.7% 5.08 —

Away team goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Both to score

51.7% 1.93 —

Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

65.7% 1.52 —
54.6% 1.83 —
43.2% 2.31 —
33.4% 2.99 —
24.6% 4.06 —
45.4% 2.2 —
56.8% 1.76 —
66.6% 1.5 —
75.4% 1.33 —

Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

50.6% 1.98 —
34.2% 2.93 —
20.5% 4.87 —

Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

73.0% 1.37 —
58.2% 1.72 —
43.7% 2.29 —

Cards

60.1% 1.66 —
39.7% 2.52 —
24.0% 4.17 —
13.0% 7.67 —
60.3% 1.66 —
76.0% 1.32 —
87.0% 1.15 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds