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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-24 15:15

Catanzaro – Ascoli

Home 42% 2.37 fair
Draw 28% 3.55 fair
Away 30% 3.38 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Catanzaro – Ascoli
FINAL Actual Result 1–6 Catanzaro – Ascoli
Expected Goals2.26
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.1% → 42.2% -1.9 pp
Draw 26.8% → 28.2% +1.3 pp
Away 29.0% → 29.6% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 44.1% → 39.2% -4.9 pp
Both teams to score 48.9% → 45.3% -3.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.44 → 2.26 -0.18
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.63 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.2% 2.37 —
28.2% 3.55 —
29.6% 3.38 —
70.4% 1.42 —
57.8% 1.73 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

33.1% 3.02 —
46.4% 2.15 —
20.4% 4.89 —

Half-time double chance

79.6% 1.26 —
66.8% 1.5 —
53.6% 1.87 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.4 —

HT/FT

26.1% 3.83 —
5.2% 19.27 —
14.7% 6.82 —
18.7% 5.34 —
13.0% 7.69 —
4.2% 23.64 —
14.7% 6.79 —

HT/FT double chance

64.7% 1.55 —
55.6% 1.8 —
38.8% 2.58 —
37.0% 2.7 —
44.2% 2.26 —
26.0% 3.84 —
39.1% 2.56 —
43.9% 2.28 —
50.7% 1.97 —

Total goals

89.7% 1.11 —
66.3% 1.51 —
39.2% 2.55 —
19.2% 5.21 —
33.7% 2.97 —
60.8% 1.65 —
80.8% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

62.9% 1.59 —
25.9% 3.85 —

Home team goals

71.6% 1.4 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Away team goals

63.4% 1.58 —
26.7% 3.75 —

Both to score

45.3% 2.21 —

Corners

68.6% 1.46 —
57.0% 1.75 —
45.8% 2.18 —
35.5% 2.81 —
26.1% 3.83 —
43.0% 2.33 —
54.2% 1.85 —
64.5% 1.55 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Home corners

63.4% 1.58 —
46.8% 2.14 —
31.7% 3.15 —

Away corners

66.8% 1.5 —
50.9% 1.96 —
36.0% 2.78 —

Cards

89.2% 1.12 —
78.0% 1.28 —
63.6% 1.57 —
47.7% 2.1 —
21.9% 4.56 —
36.4% 2.74 —
52.3% 1.91 —

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