Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-24 13:00
Avellino – Padova
Home
48%
2.09 fair
Draw
27%
3.74 fair
Away
25%
3.94 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Avellino – Padova
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Avellino – Padova
Expected Goals2.35
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.2%
→
47.9%
+5.7 pp
Draw
28.5%
→
26.7%
-1.8 pp
Away
29.2%
→
25.4%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
39.0%
→
41.7%
+2.7 pp
Both teams to score
45.0%
→
45.9%
+0.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.24 →
2.35
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.29 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.11 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.82 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.12 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.96 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Total goals
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — |
Both to score
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Away corners
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Cards
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds