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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-24 13:00

Avellino – Padova

Home 48% 2.09 fair
Draw 27% 3.74 fair
Away 25% 3.94 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Avellino – Padova
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Avellino – Padova
Expected Goals2.35
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.2% → 47.9% +5.7 pp
Draw 28.5% → 26.7% -1.8 pp
Away 29.2% → 25.4% -3.9 pp
Over 2.5 39.0% → 41.7% +2.7 pp
Both teams to score 45.0% → 45.9% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.24 → 2.35 +0.11
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.28 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.9% 2.09 —
26.7% 3.74 —
25.4% 3.94 —
74.6% 1.34 —
52.1% 1.92 —
73.3% 1.36 —

Half-time result

44.3% 2.26 —
39.1% 2.56 —
16.6% 6.04 —

Half-time double chance

83.5% 1.2 —
55.7% 1.8 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Both halves

12.8% 7.84 —

HT/FT

35.9% 2.78 —
6.5% 15.29 —
11.0% 9.11 —
17.2% 5.82 —
11.0% 9.12 —
3.0% 33.22 —
12.6% 7.96 —

HT/FT double chance

70.6% 1.42 —
59.7% 1.67 —
36.5% 2.74 —
46.5% 2.15 —
51.3% 1.95 —
24.0% 4.17 —
32.1% 3.11 —
35.5% 2.82 —
43.7% 2.29 —

Total goals

90.6% 1.1 —
68.1% 1.47 —
41.7% 2.4 —
21.1% 4.73 —
31.9% 3.13 —
58.3% 1.71 —
78.9% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

71.5% 1.4 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Home team goals

75.4% 1.33 —
41.2% 2.43 —

Away team goals

61.0% 1.64 —
24.0% 4.17 —

Both to score

45.9% 2.18 —

Corners

67.1% 1.49 —
55.4% 1.81 —
44.0% 2.28 —
33.9% 2.95 —
24.9% 4.01 —
44.6% 2.24 —
56.0% 1.78 —
66.1% 1.51 —
75.1% 1.33 —

Home corners

68.6% 1.46 —
53.0% 1.89 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Away corners

58.7% 1.7 —
41.7% 2.4 —
27.5% 3.64 —

Cards

84.4% 1.18 —
69.7% 1.44 —
53.0% 1.89 —
37.6% 2.66 —
30.3% 3.3 —
47.0% 2.13 —
62.4% 1.6 —

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