Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-17 13:00
Padova – Virtus Entella
Home
39%
2.54 fair
Draw
31%
3.19 fair
Away
29%
3.4 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Padova – Virtus Entella
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Padova – Virtus Entella
Expected Goals2.01
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.533%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.6%
→
39.3%
-2.3 pp
Draw
30.3%
→
31.3%
+1.0 pp
Away
28.1%
→
29.4%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
33.6%
→
32.9%
-0.7 pp
Both teams to score
40.5%
→
40.0%
-0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.06 →
2.01
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Both halves
| 8.6% | 11.67 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.85 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 10.98 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.87 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.12 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Total goals
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.74 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Away team goals
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Both to score
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Corners
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Away corners
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds