Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-17 13:00
Carrarese – Modena
Home
32%
3.09 fair
Draw
29%
3.47 fair
Away
39%
2.58 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Carrarese – Modena
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Carrarese – Modena
Expected Goals2.21
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.9%
→
32.4%
+1.5 pp
Draw
29.2%
→
28.8%
-0.3 pp
Away
39.9%
→
38.8%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
37.9%
→
37.8%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
44.6%
→
44.5%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.2 →
2.21
+0.01
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Both halves
| 6.3% | 15.87 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.47 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.58 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.9 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.0 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Total goals
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — |
Home team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Both to score
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Corners
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — |
Away corners
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Cards
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds