Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-17 13:00
Ascoli – Empoli
Home
54%
1.86 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
20%
5.06 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Ascoli – Empoli
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Ascoli – Empoli
Expected Goals2.27
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.7%
→
53.8%
+2.1 pp
Draw
26.7%
→
26.4%
-0.3 pp
Away
21.6%
→
19.8%
-1.8 pp
Over 2.5
40.0%
→
39.8%
-0.2 pp
Both teams to score
42.7%
→
42.0%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.27 →
2.27
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.8% | 5.62 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — |
Both halves
| 9.8% | 10.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.35 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.31 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.41 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Total goals
| 89.7% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.14 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.45 | — |
Both to score
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Away corners
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — |
Cards
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds