Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-13 14:00
Lille – Troyes
Home
69%
1.46 fair
Draw
19%
5.32 fair
Away
13%
7.96 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
Lille – Troyes
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Lille – Troyes
Expected Goals2.97
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.557%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.6% | 1.46 | 67.5% | 1.40 | ||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | 19.9% | 4.75 | ||
| 12.6% | 7.96 | 12.6% | 7.50 | ||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.42 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.5 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.75 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.72 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | 56.9% | 1.67 | ||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | 43.1% | 2.20 | ||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.3 | — |
Both to score
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.13 | — |
Away corners Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — |
Cards
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds