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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-21

Napoli – Torino

Home 59% 1.68 fair
Draw 23% 4.27 fair
Away 17% 5.81 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 60.1% → 59.4% -0.7 pp
Draw 23.4% → 23.4% +0.0 pp
Away 16.5% → 17.2% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 45.6% → 47.6% +2.0 pp
Both teams to score 44.4% → 46.6% +2.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.51 → 2.58 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

59.4% 1.68 —
23.4% 4.27 —
17.2% 5.81 —
82.8% 1.21 —
40.6% 2.46 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

43.5% 2.3 —
43.6% 2.29 —
12.9% 7.78 —

Half-time double chance

87.1% 1.15 —
56.5% 1.77 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Both halves

20.0% 4.99 —

HT/FT

37.2% 2.69 —
4.9% 20.37 —
20.1% 4.98 —
15.2% 6.57 —
8.4% 11.96 —
3.3% 30.21 —
7.5% 13.37 —

HT/FT double chance

77.4% 1.29 —
67.0% 1.49 —
29.8% 3.35 —
47.5% 2.11 —
48.1% 2.08 —
17.1% 5.86 —
40.7% 2.46 —
38.0% 2.63 —
34.4% 2.91 —

Total goals

92.4% 1.08 —
72.7% 1.37 —
47.6% 2.1 —
26.1% 3.84 —
27.3% 3.67 —
52.3% 1.91 —
73.9% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

64.3% 1.55 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Home team goals

82.6% 1.21 —
52.5% 1.9 —

Away team goals

56.4% 1.77 —
20.1% 4.98 —

Both to score

46.6% 2.15 —

Corners

61.5% 1.63 —
50.0% 2.0 —
39.3% 2.55 —
29.9% 3.35 —
22.0% 4.55 —
50.0% 2.0 —
60.7% 1.65 —
70.1% 1.43 —
78.0% 1.28 —

Home corners

74.2% 1.35 —
60.0% 1.67 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Away corners

40.2% 2.49 —
24.9% 4.01 —
14.3% 6.97 —

Cards

63.3% 1.58 —
43.5% 2.3 —
27.1% 3.69 —
15.4% 6.49 —
56.5% 1.77 —
72.9% 1.37 —
84.6% 1.18 —

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