Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-21
Parma – Roma
Home
14%
7.0 fair
Draw
23%
4.35 fair
Away
63%
1.59 fair
Expected Goals2.42
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
15.5%
→
14.3%
-1.3 pp
Draw
24.3%
→
23.0%
-1.3 pp
Away
60.1%
→
62.7%
+2.6 pp
Over 2.5
40.4%
→
43.6%
+3.3 pp
Both teams to score
39.4%
→
41.0%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.29 →
2.42
+0.13
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 14.3% | 7.0 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 8.5% | 11.82 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 4.5% | 22.17 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.72 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — |
Total goals
| 91.3% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
Home team goals
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Both to score
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Corners
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — |
Away corners
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Cards
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds