Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-21
Lazio – Lecce
Home
63%
1.59 fair
Draw
23%
4.27 fair
Away
14%
7.22 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
58.1%
→
62.7%
+4.7 pp
Draw
26.4%
→
23.4%
-3.0 pp
Away
15.6%
→
13.9%
-1.7 pp
Over 2.5
35.1%
→
42.0%
+7.0 pp
Both teams to score
35.9%
→
38.7%
+2.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.11 →
2.35
+0.24
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.06 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 21.5% | 4.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.49 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.35 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.67 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.41 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — |
Total goals
| 90.2% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Away team goals
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.14 | — |
Both to score
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — |
Corners
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
Away corners
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — |
Cards
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds