Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-08 14:00
Monza – Atalanta
Home
18%
5.6 fair
Draw
20%
5.06 fair
Away
62%
1.6 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Monza – Atalanta
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Monza – Atalanta
Expected Goals3.35
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.6%
→
17.9%
+3.2 pp
Draw
20.2%
→
19.8%
-0.4 pp
Away
65.2%
→
62.4%
-2.8 pp
Over 2.5
57.9%
→
65.2%
+7.4 pp
Both teams to score
52.2%
→
60.5%
+8.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.99 →
3.35
+0.36
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
Both halves
| 3.3% | 30.49 | — |
HT/FT
| 10.1% | 9.87 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.11 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.03 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.3 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.92 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Away team goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
Both to score
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Away corners
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Cards
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds