Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-08 14:00
Genoa – Milan
Home
23%
4.27 fair
Draw
25%
3.95 fair
Away
51%
1.95 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Genoa – Milan
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Genoa – Milan
Expected Goals2.49
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
22.0%
→
23.4%
+1.4 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
25.3%
+0.2 pp
Away
52.8%
→
51.2%
-1.6 pp
Over 2.5
45.1%
→
45.3%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
47.3%
→
47.7%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.48 →
2.49
+0.01
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.0% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Both halves
| 4.2% | 23.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.2% | 7.55 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.61 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.01 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.64 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Both to score
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
Home corners
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
Away corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Cards
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds