Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-08 11:30
Napoli – Lazio
Home
43%
2.31 fair
Draw
27%
3.64 fair
Away
29%
3.43 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Napoli – Lazio
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Napoli – Lazio
Expected Goals2.39
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.0%
→
43.4%
-2.7 pp
Draw
28.5%
→
27.5%
-1.1 pp
Away
25.4%
→
29.2%
+3.7 pp
Over 2.5
38.7%
→
42.9%
+4.2 pp
Both teams to score
44.2%
→
48.3%
+4.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.24 →
2.39
+0.15
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 11.0% | 9.07 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.57 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — |
Total goals
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — |
Both to score
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Corners
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Away corners
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — |
Cards
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds