Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-07 19:45
Roma – Sassuolo
Home
71%
1.4 fair
Draw
17%
5.84 fair
Away
12%
8.57 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Roma – Sassuolo
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Roma – Sassuolo
Expected Goals3.33
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.8%
→
71.2%
+5.4 pp
Draw
20.2%
→
17.1%
-3.1 pp
Away
14.0%
→
11.7%
-2.4 pp
Over 2.5
56.5%
→
64.2%
+7.8 pp
Both teams to score
50.6%
→
54.3%
+3.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.96 →
3.33
+0.37
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — | |||
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — |
Half-time result
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — |
Both halves
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.51 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.27 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.33 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.96 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.49 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.25 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 4.99 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.08 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — |
Away team goals
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — |
Both to score
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Corners
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — |
Away corners
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — |
Cards
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds