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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-07 17:00

Parma – Bologna

Home 24% 4.13 fair
Draw 28% 3.6 fair
Away 48% 2.08 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-1 Parma – Bologna
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Parma – Bologna
Expected Goals2.17
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 25.4% → 24.2% -1.2 pp
Draw 29.2% → 27.8% -1.4 pp
Away 45.4% → 48.0% +2.6 pp
Over 2.5 35.9% → 36.8% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 42.2% → 41.9% -0.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.15 → 2.17 +0.02
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.55 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

24.2% 4.13 —
27.8% 3.6 —
48.0% 2.08 —
52.0% 1.92 —
75.8% 1.32 —
72.2% 1.38 —

Half-time result

15.4% 6.5 —
54.5% 1.83 —
30.1% 3.32 —

Half-time double chance

69.9% 1.43 —
84.6% 1.18 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Both halves

3.6% 27.7 —

HT/FT

9.8% 10.17 —
3.7% 26.88 —
12.8% 7.78 —
19.6% 5.1 —
22.1% 4.53 —
4.5% 22.37 —
24.1% 4.16 —

HT/FT double chance

46.0% 2.17 —
46.6% 2.15 —
47.2% 2.12 —
19.6% 5.11 —
37.3% 2.68 —
34.1% 2.93 —
38.5% 2.6 —
60.6% 1.65 —
70.2% 1.42 —

Total goals

88.9% 1.12 —
63.8% 1.57 —
36.8% 2.72 —
17.5% 5.72 —
36.2% 2.76 —
63.2% 1.58 —
82.5% 1.21 —

1st-half goals

51.7% 1.93 —
16.8% 5.96 —

Home team goals

57.2% 1.75 —
20.9% 4.78 —

Away team goals

73.7% 1.36 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Both to score

41.9% 2.39 —

Corners

58.5% 1.71 —
47.1% 2.12 —
36.2% 2.76 —
26.7% 3.74 —
19.1% 5.23 —
52.9% 1.89 —
63.8% 1.57 —
73.3% 1.36 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Home corners

54.2% 1.84 —
37.5% 2.67 —
24.2% 4.13 —

Away corners

61.5% 1.63 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.2% 3.21 —

Cards

77.2% 1.3 —
60.4% 1.66 —
43.8% 2.28 —
29.7% 3.37 —
39.6% 2.52 —
56.2% 1.78 —
70.3% 1.42 —

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