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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-07 14:00

Torino – Lecce

Home 48% 2.08 fair
Draw 29% 3.5 fair
Away 23% 4.3 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Torino – Lecce
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Torino – Lecce
Expected Goals2.18
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.8% → 48.2% +1.4 pp
Draw 28.9% → 28.6% -0.4 pp
Away 24.3% → 23.3% -1.0 pp
Over 2.5 34.5% → 37.5% +2.9 pp
Both teams to score 40.0% → 42.0% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.09 → 2.18 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.6 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.2% 2.08 —
28.6% 3.5 —
23.3% 4.3 —
76.7% 1.3 —
51.8% 1.93 —
71.5% 1.4 —

Half-time result

31.7% 3.16 —
47.1% 2.12 —
21.2% 4.71 —

Half-time double chance

78.7% 1.27 —
68.3% 1.46 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Both halves

13.0% 7.67 —

HT/FT

27.1% 3.69 —
3.6% 27.47 —
18.7% 5.35 —
19.6% 5.09 —
8.8% 11.43 —
5.3% 18.9 —
13.5% 7.39 —

HT/FT double chance

69.0% 1.45 —
55.5% 1.8 —
33.0% 3.03 —
38.4% 2.6 —
44.0% 2.27 —
23.4% 4.27 —
46.0% 2.17 —
43.4% 2.3 —
47.2% 2.12 —

Total goals

88.1% 1.13 —
64.5% 1.55 —
37.5% 2.67 —
18.0% 5.56 —
35.5% 2.81 —
62.5% 1.6 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

62.3% 1.61 —
25.6% 3.9 —

Home team goals

73.6% 1.36 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Away team goals

56.6% 1.77 —
20.9% 4.78 —

Both to score

42.0% 2.38 —

Corners

62.3% 1.61 —
50.6% 1.98 —
40.1% 2.49 —
30.2% 3.31 —
22.1% 4.52 —
49.4% 2.03 —
59.9% 1.67 —
69.8% 1.43 —
77.9% 1.28 —

Home corners

66.1% 1.51 —
50.7% 1.97 —
36.0% 2.78 —

Away corners

54.3% 1.84 —
37.7% 2.65 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Cards

65.8% 1.52 —
46.7% 2.14 —
30.2% 3.31 —
17.7% 5.64 —
53.3% 1.88 —
69.8% 1.43 —
82.3% 1.22 —

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