Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-02 19:45
Atalanta – Parma
Home
63%
1.59 fair
Draw
23%
4.39 fair
Away
14%
6.91 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Atalanta – Parma
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Atalanta – Parma
Expected Goals2.46
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
60.5%
→
62.7%
+2.2 pp
Draw
24.4%
→
22.8%
-1.6 pp
Away
15.1%
→
14.5%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
41.6%
→
44.5%
+2.9 pp
Both teams to score
40.7%
→
41.3%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.35 →
2.46
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.91 | — | |||
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.1 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.77 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.61 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — |
Total goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — |
Both to score
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — |
Cards
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds