Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-02 17:30
Sassuolo – Fiorentina
Home
34%
2.95 fair
Draw
24%
4.21 fair
Away
42%
2.36 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sassuolo – Fiorentina
FINAL
Actual Result
2–4
Sassuolo – Fiorentina
Expected Goals2.98
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.0%
→
33.9%
-1.2 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
23.8%
-1.6 pp
Away
39.6%
→
42.4%
+2.7 pp
Over 2.5
54.9%
→
57.2%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
58.6%
→
59.8%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.89 →
2.98
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 12.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.85 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.89 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.28 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Both to score
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — |
Away corners
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — |
Cards
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds