Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-01 17:00
Lecce – Genoa
Home
27%
3.69 fair
Draw
30%
3.28 fair
Away
42%
2.36 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Lecce – Genoa
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Lecce – Genoa
Expected Goals1.98
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.532%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.5%
→
27.1%
-1.4 pp
Draw
30.7%
→
30.5%
-0.2 pp
Away
40.8%
→
42.4%
+1.6 pp
Over 2.5
31.6%
→
31.8%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
38.8%
→
38.9%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
1.97 →
1.98
+0.01
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Both halves
| 4.6% | 21.65 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.49 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.18 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.25 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
Total goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.11 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — |
Home team goals
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — |
Both to score
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Corners
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Away corners
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Cards
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds