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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-01 14:00

Lazio – Cagliari

Home 57% 1.75 fair
Draw 24% 4.14 fair
Away 19% 5.36 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Lazio – Cagliari
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Lazio – Cagliari
Expected Goals2.53
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.0% → 57.2% +7.2 pp
Draw 26.9% → 24.2% -2.7 pp
Away 23.1% → 18.7% -4.5 pp
Over 2.5 40.7% → 46.3% +5.6 pp
Both teams to score 44.0% → 46.6% +2.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.3 → 2.53 +0.23
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.38 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.22 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.2% 1.75 —
24.2% 4.14 —
18.7% 5.36 —
81.3% 1.23 —
42.8% 2.33 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

39.1% 2.56 —
45.5% 2.2 —
15.4% 6.49 —

Half-time double chance

84.6% 1.18 —
60.9% 1.64 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Both halves

18.2% 5.48 —

HT/FT

33.6% 2.97 —
4.3% 23.36 —
21.0% 4.75 —
15.6% 6.4 —
8.8% 11.35 —
4.2% 23.53 —
8.7% 11.55 —

HT/FT double chance

74.6% 1.34 —
64.7% 1.55 —
29.9% 3.34 —
44.7% 2.24 —
46.0% 2.17 —
18.4% 5.43 —
43.4% 2.3 —
41.0% 2.44 —
37.4% 2.68 —

Total goals

91.9% 1.09 —
71.9% 1.39 —
46.3% 2.16 —
25.0% 4.0 —
28.1% 3.56 —
53.7% 1.86 —
75.0% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

63.1% 1.59 —
26.5% 3.77 —

Home team goals

81.2% 1.23 —
50.5% 1.98 —

Away team goals

57.3% 1.74 —
20.5% 4.88 —

Both to score

46.6% 2.15 —

Corners

67.4% 1.48 —
55.8% 1.79 —
45.0% 2.22 —
35.0% 2.85 —
26.6% 3.76 —
44.2% 2.26 —
55.0% 1.82 —
65.0% 1.54 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Home corners

74.3% 1.35 —
60.3% 1.66 —
46.1% 2.17 —

Away corners

50.6% 1.98 —
34.3% 2.91 —
21.3% 4.7 —

Cards

84.5% 1.18 —
71.6% 1.4 —
56.3% 1.78 —
41.7% 2.4 —
28.4% 3.52 —
43.7% 2.29 —
58.3% 1.71 —

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