Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-29 19:45
Fiorentina – Atalanta
Home
28%
3.59 fair
Draw
24%
4.16 fair
Away
48%
2.08 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Fiorentina – Atalanta
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Fiorentina – Atalanta
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
27.3%
→
27.9%
+0.6 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
24.0%
-1.0 pp
Away
47.6%
→
48.1%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
50.7%
→
54.3%
+3.6 pp
Both teams to score
53.9%
→
56.2%
+2.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.7 →
2.84
+0.14
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 6.2% | 16.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.04 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.15 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.66 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.25 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Both to score
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Corners
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — |
Away corners
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — |
Cards
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds