Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-29 17:30
Frosinone – Lecce
Home
59%
1.7 fair
Draw
21%
4.69 fair
Away
20%
5.07 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Frosinone – Lecce
FINAL
Actual Result
5–1
Frosinone – Lecce
Expected Goals3.02
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.7%
→
59.0%
+2.3 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
21.3%
-3.8 pp
Away
18.2%
→
19.7%
+1.5 pp
Over 2.5
44.0%
→
58.2%
+14.1 pp
Both teams to score
44.3%
→
55.7%
+11.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.43 →
3.02
+0.59
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.3 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
Both halves
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.74 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.0 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.6 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Total goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.05 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
Both to score
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — |
Corners
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Home corners
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Cards
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds