Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-28 19:45
Monza – Napoli
Home
15%
6.53 fair
Draw
20%
4.91 fair
Away
64%
1.55 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Monza – Napoli
FINAL
Actual Result
1–4
Monza – Napoli
Expected Goals2.99
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
13.8%
→
15.3%
+1.6 pp
Draw
19.6%
→
20.4%
+0.8 pp
Away
66.7%
→
64.3%
-2.3 pp
Over 2.5
53.6%
→
57.4%
+3.8 pp
Both teams to score
47.3%
→
52.3%
+5.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.83 →
2.99
+0.16
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 11.4% | 8.77 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 6.8% | 14.66 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.43 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.42 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.67 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Home team goals
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Both to score
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.25 | — |
Away corners
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Cards
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds