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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-28 19:45

Genoa – Juventus

Home 20% 4.93 fair
Draw 26% 3.79 fair
Away 53% 1.87 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-1 Genoa – Juventus
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Genoa – Juventus
Expected Goals2.23
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 19.2% → 20.3% +1.1 pp
Draw 25.9% → 26.4% +0.4 pp
Away 54.9% → 53.3% -1.6 pp
Over 2.5 40.5% → 38.6% -1.8 pp
Both teams to score 42.4% → 41.4% -0.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.3 → 2.23 -0.07
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.3 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.28 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

20.3% 4.93 —
26.4% 3.79 —
53.3% 1.87 —
46.7% 2.14 —
79.7% 1.25 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Half-time result

16.7% 5.97 —
48.0% 2.08 —
35.3% 2.84 —

Half-time double chance

64.7% 1.54 —
83.3% 1.2 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Both halves

3.1% 31.85 —

HT/FT

10.3% 9.66 —
4.1% 24.21 —
9.0% 11.05 —
18.3% 5.47 —
20.7% 4.84 —
4.0% 25.13 —
30.4% 3.29 —

HT/FT double chance

41.8% 2.39 —
42.3% 2.36 —
45.3% 2.21 —
19.3% 5.17 —
43.9% 2.28 —
40.8% 2.45 —
32.2% 3.11 —
61.0% 1.64 —
73.3% 1.36 —

Total goals

89.5% 1.12 —
65.0% 1.54 —
38.6% 2.59 —
18.7% 5.35 —
35.0% 2.86 —
61.4% 1.63 —
81.3% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

60.1% 1.66 —
23.4% 4.27 —

Home team goals

54.3% 1.84 —
18.4% 5.44 —

Away team goals

76.6% 1.31 —
42.4% 2.36 —

Both to score

41.4% 2.41 —

Corners

66.1% 1.51 —
55.6% 1.8 —
44.6% 2.24 —
34.6% 2.89 —
26.0% 3.84 —
44.4% 2.25 —
55.4% 1.81 —
65.4% 1.53 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Home corners

51.4% 1.94 —
34.4% 2.91 —
21.5% 4.65 —

Away corners

72.7% 1.38 —
58.4% 1.71 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Cards

75.8% 1.32 —
58.5% 1.71 —
41.6% 2.4 —
27.4% 3.65 —
41.5% 2.41 —
58.4% 1.71 —
72.6% 1.38 —

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