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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-28 17:30

Parma – Udinese

Home 32% 3.12 fair
Draw 29% 3.42 fair
Away 39% 2.58 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Parma – Udinese
FINAL Actual Result 0–0 Parma – Udinese
Expected Goals2.16
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.4% → 32.0% -0.4 pp
Draw 29.4% → 29.2% -0.2 pp
Away 38.2% → 38.8% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 36.7% → 36.6% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 43.7% → 43.1% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.16 → 2.16 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.45 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.11 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.0% 3.12 —
29.2% 3.42 —
38.8% 2.58 —
61.2% 1.63 —
68.0% 1.47 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Half-time result

17.5% 5.73 —
51.0% 1.96 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Half-time double chance

68.4% 1.46 —
82.5% 1.21 —
49.0% 2.04 —

Both halves

5.8% 17.39 —

HT/FT

13.0% 7.7 —
3.3% 29.94 —
16.6% 6.03 —
20.1% 4.98 —
14.3% 7.0 —
5.8% 17.27 —
23.3% 4.28 —

HT/FT double chance

53.0% 1.89 —
45.0% 2.22 —
38.9% 2.57 —
24.6% 4.07 —
39.9% 2.51 —
33.6% 2.98 —
44.9% 2.23 —
56.6% 1.77 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Total goals

88.5% 1.13 —
63.5% 1.57 —
36.6% 2.73 —
17.2% 5.81 —
36.4% 2.74 —
63.4% 1.58 —
82.8% 1.21 —

1st-half goals

56.4% 1.77 —
20.2% 4.95 —

Home team goals

63.5% 1.58 —
26.7% 3.74 —

Away team goals

68.1% 1.47 —
31.7% 3.15 —

Both to score

43.1% 2.32 —

Corners

67.6% 1.48 —
56.5% 1.77 —
45.8% 2.18 —
35.7% 2.8 —
27.0% 3.71 —
43.5% 2.3 —
54.2% 1.84 —
64.2% 1.56 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Home corners

66.2% 1.51 —
50.5% 1.98 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Away corners

62.8% 1.59 —
46.3% 2.16 —
32.0% 3.13 —

Cards

73.8% 1.36 —
55.7% 1.8 —
38.9% 2.57 —
24.8% 4.03 —
44.3% 2.26 —
61.1% 1.64 —
75.2% 1.33 —

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