Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-28 17:30
Milan – Bologna
Home
49%
2.04 fair
Draw
26%
3.89 fair
Away
25%
3.95 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Milan – Bologna
FINAL
Actual Result
2–4
Milan – Bologna
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.6%
→
48.9%
+0.3 pp
Draw
25.7%
→
25.7%
+0.1 pp
Away
25.7%
→
25.3%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
47.7%
→
48.1%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
50.9%
→
51.1%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.58 →
2.6
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Both halves
| 13.1% | 7.65 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.17 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.9 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
Both to score
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — |
Home corners
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — |
Away corners
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — |
Cards
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds