Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-27 19:45
Roma – Cagliari
Home
66%
1.5 fair
Draw
21%
4.72 fair
Away
12%
8.08 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Roma – Cagliari
FINAL
Actual Result
4–2
Roma – Cagliari
Expected Goals2.63
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.9%
→
66.5%
+2.6 pp
Draw
21.6%
→
21.2%
-0.4 pp
Away
14.5%
→
12.4%
-2.1 pp
Over 2.5
47.9%
→
48.7%
+0.8 pp
Both teams to score
43.7%
→
42.9%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.59 →
2.63
+0.04
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.08 | — | |||
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.81 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.11 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.46 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.47 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — |
Both to score
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Corners
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — |
Away corners
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.16 | — |
Cards
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds