Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-27 17:30
Sassuolo – Lazio
Home
26%
3.81 fair
Draw
25%
3.96 fair
Away
49%
2.06 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sassuolo – Lazio
FINAL
Actual Result
2–6
Sassuolo – Lazio
Expected Goals2.65
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.2%
→
26.2%
-2.9 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
25.2%
-0.2 pp
Away
45.4%
→
48.5%
+3.1 pp
Over 2.5
48.0%
→
49.6%
+1.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.1%
→
52.5%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.6 →
2.65
+0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 5.2% | 19.08 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.13 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Both to score
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — |
Away corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Cards
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds