Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-25 14:00
Atalanta – Frosinone
Home
55%
1.8 fair
Draw
21%
4.69 fair
Away
23%
4.29 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Atalanta – Frosinone
FINAL
Actual Result
4–4
Atalanta – Frosinone
Expected Goals3.33
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.1%
→
55.4%
+3.3 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
21.3%
-2.7 pp
Away
24.0%
→
23.3%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
56.0%
→
64.7%
+8.8 pp
Both teams to score
56.6%
→
62.5%
+5.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
3.33
+0.4
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Both halves
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.15 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.76 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.97 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.22 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Total goals
| 96.5% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
1st-half goals
| 86.6% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — |
Both to score
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
Corners
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
Home corners
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — |
Away corners
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Cards
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.82 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds