Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-24 18:45
Lazio – Parma
Home
57%
1.75 fair
Draw
26%
3.82 fair
Away
17%
6.03 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Lazio – Parma
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Lazio – Parma
Expected Goals2.17
Both teams to score38%
Over 2.537%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.2%
→
57.3%
+4.0 pp
Draw
27.6%
→
26.2%
-1.5 pp
Away
19.1%
→
16.6%
-2.6 pp
Over 2.5
35.1%
→
37.0%
+1.9 pp
Both teams to score
38.8%
→
37.8%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.11 →
2.17
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.09 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Both halves
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.72 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.88 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — |
Total goals
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — |
1st-half goals
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.9 | — |
Both to score
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — |
Corners
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Away corners
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — |
Cards
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds