Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-24 16:00
Napoli – Roma
Home
33%
3.0 fair
Draw
29%
3.44 fair
Away
38%
2.66 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Napoli – Roma
FINAL
Actual Result
3–3
Napoli – Roma
Expected Goals2.19
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.537%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.0%
→
33.4%
-0.7 pp
Draw
28.4%
→
29.1%
+0.7 pp
Away
37.6%
→
37.6%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
40.3%
→
37.4%
-2.9 pp
Both teams to score
46.8%
→
44.0%
-2.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.3 →
2.19
-0.11
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Both halves
| 7.0% | 14.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.0% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.92 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.05 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.37 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — |
Total goals
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
Home team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Both to score
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Corners
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
Home corners
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.66 | — |
Away corners
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — |
Cards
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds