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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-23 18:45

Torino – Monza

Home 49% 2.05 fair
Draw 25% 4.04 fair
Away 27% 3.77 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Torino – Monza
FINAL Actual Result 3–2 Torino – Monza
Expected Goals2.79
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.2% → 48.7% -0.5 pp
Draw 24.9% → 24.8% -0.2 pp
Away 25.8% → 26.5% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 50.1% → 52.8% +2.7 pp
Both teams to score 52.4% → 55.3% +2.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.66 → 2.79 +0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.6 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.84 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.7% 2.05 —
24.8% 4.04 —
26.5% 3.77 —
73.5% 1.36 —
51.3% 1.95 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Half-time result

35.1% 2.84 —
41.3% 2.42 —
23.6% 4.24 —

Half-time double chance

76.4% 1.31 —
64.8% 1.54 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Both halves

14.2% 7.06 —

HT/FT

28.7% 3.48 —
4.7% 21.23 —
17.1% 5.87 —
14.8% 6.78 —
9.5% 10.55 —
5.3% 18.94 —
15.4% 6.51 —

HT/FT double chance

65.2% 1.53 —
57.0% 1.76 —
30.6% 3.26 —
41.6% 2.4 —
48.7% 2.05 —
27.1% 3.7 —
40.0% 2.5 —
44.8% 2.23 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Total goals

93.8% 1.07 —
76.4% 1.31 —
52.8% 1.89 —
30.8% 3.25 —
23.6% 4.24 —
47.2% 2.12 —
69.2% 1.45 —

1st-half goals

70.5% 1.42 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Home team goals

80.6% 1.24 —
49.1% 2.04 —

Away team goals

68.5% 1.46 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Both to score

55.3% 1.81 —

Corners

59.4% 1.68 —
47.5% 2.1 —
36.6% 2.73 —
27.1% 3.69 —
19.2% 5.2 —
52.4% 1.91 —
63.3% 1.58 —
72.9% 1.37 —
80.8% 1.24 —

Home corners

65.3% 1.53 —
49.1% 2.04 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Away corners

51.0% 1.96 —
34.1% 2.93 —
21.3% 4.7 —

Cards

70.4% 1.42 —
51.5% 1.94 —
34.3% 2.92 —
20.9% 4.78 —
48.5% 2.06 —
65.7% 1.52 —
79.1% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds