Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-19 16:30
Monza – Cagliari
Home
29%
3.4 fair
Draw
26%
3.87 fair
Away
45%
2.24 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Monza – Cagliari
FINAL
Actual Result
4–0
Monza – Cagliari
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.0%
→
29.4%
-0.5 pp
Draw
26.4%
→
25.9%
-0.5 pp
Away
43.6%
→
44.7%
+1.1 pp
Over 2.5
47.7%
→
48.3%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.1%
→
52.6%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.57 →
2.6
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 6.3% | 15.85 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.4% | 5.73 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.28 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.52 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.55 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Both to score
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Away corners
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — |
Cards
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds