Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-18 16:00
Milan – Atalanta
Home
38%
2.6 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
35%
2.84 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Milan – Atalanta
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Milan – Atalanta
Expected Goals2.61
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.8%
→
38.4%
+0.6 pp
Draw
26.7%
→
26.4%
-0.3 pp
Away
35.5%
→
35.2%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
48.5%
→
48.4%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
53.1%
→
53.0%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.61 →
2.61
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 9.2% | 10.89 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.63 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.07 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.05 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Both to score
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Away corners
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — |
Cards
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.74 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds