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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-18 10:30

Udinese – Lecce

Home 50% 2.0 fair
Draw 28% 3.55 fair
Away 22% 4.56 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Udinese – Lecce
FINAL Actual Result 0–3 Udinese – Lecce
Expected Goals2.19
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.1% → 49.9% -0.1 pp
Draw 28.1% → 28.1% +0.1 pp
Away 21.9% → 21.9% +0.0 pp
Over 2.5 36.6% → 37.4% +0.8 pp
Both teams to score 41.4% → 41.8% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.17 → 2.19 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.98 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.07 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.9% 2.0 —
28.1% 3.55 —
21.9% 4.56 —
78.1% 1.28 —
50.1% 2.0 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

36.8% 2.71 —
45.0% 2.22 —
18.2% 5.51 —

Half-time double chance

81.8% 1.22 —
63.2% 1.58 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Both halves

14.0% 7.17 —

HT/FT

31.3% 3.2 —
4.6% 21.88 —
17.0% 5.88 —
19.3% 5.18 —
8.7% 11.51 —
4.3% 23.42 —
12.2% 8.18 —

HT/FT double chance

72.2% 1.39 —
58.0% 1.73 —
33.6% 2.98 —
41.8% 2.39 —
46.2% 2.17 —
22.1% 4.54 —
42.2% 2.37 —
39.6% 2.53 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Total goals

88.6% 1.13 —
64.5% 1.55 —
37.4% 2.67 —
17.8% 5.63 —
35.5% 2.82 —
62.6% 1.6 —
82.2% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

64.6% 1.55 —
28.2% 3.54 —

Home team goals

75.0% 1.33 —
40.0% 2.5 —

Away team goals

55.4% 1.81 —
19.7% 5.09 —

Both to score

41.8% 2.39 —

Corners

72.3% 1.38 —
62.1% 1.61 —
51.6% 1.94 —
41.2% 2.42 —
32.0% 3.12 —
37.9% 2.64 —
48.4% 2.07 —
58.8% 1.7 —
68.0% 1.47 —

Home corners

74.5% 1.34 —
60.1% 1.66 —
46.0% 2.18 —

Away corners

60.8% 1.65 —
44.4% 2.25 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Cards

73.3% 1.36 —
55.1% 1.81 —
38.1% 2.62 —
24.5% 4.09 —
44.9% 2.23 —
61.9% 1.62 —
75.5% 1.32 —

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