Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-10-17 18:45
Roma – Genoa
Home
64%
1.56 fair
Draw
22%
4.53 fair
Away
14%
7.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Roma – Genoa
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Roma – Genoa
Expected Goals2.52
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.7%
→
64.1%
-0.6 pp
Draw
21.7%
→
22.1%
+0.4 pp
Away
13.6%
→
13.8%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
47.1%
→
46.4%
-0.7 pp
Both teams to score
42.8%
→
41.6%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.55 →
2.52
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.62 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.8 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.33 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — |
Both to score
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
Corners
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — |
Away corners
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.4 | — |
Cards
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds